Projecting Ahead: A Snapshot Of Post-Election Scenarios In Ghana

Ghana's Electoral Commission (EC) has announced that a full declaration of results within 72 hours of polls closing tomorrow, 10th December is likely.

While there are discrepancies that the EC is seeking to resolve and another 65 constituencies to be counted, unofficial tallies point towards a victory for the New Patriotic Party (NPP), Ghana's current opposition, and its flag-bearer, Nana Akufo-Addo.

Nevertheless, it's not over until it's over.

Headline Findings

At the time of writing, EC Chairperson Charlotte Osei announced that the Commission has collated results from 210 of Ghana's 275 constituencies without sharing the relevant tallies. Media houses are nevertheless declaring their own breakdown of results - they place current opposition, New Patriotic Party (NPP) in the lead. Osei attributed delays to party officials's refusal to sign off on results from the constituency but nevertheless expects a final declaration within 72 hours. Campaign Pledges (NDC): Building a strong and resilient economy, improving transparent and accountable governance & provision of free NHIS subscriptions for the disabled. Key people to watch (NDC): JJ Rawlings, Sam Okudzeto Ablakwa, Zenator Rawlings, Ekow Spio-Garbrah, Ahwoi brothers, Ibrahim Mahama. Campaign Pledges (NPP): '​One District One Factory', restoration of teacher and nursing training allowances, reduction of taxes (especially on utility tariffs), issue national ID cards. Key people to watch (NPP) - Isaac Osei, Akoto Osei, Kennedy Agyapong, Paul Ofoko, Alan Kyeremanten. State of Play

The day after the December 7 polls was characterised by seemingly continuous press conferences by the Electoral Commission (EC), New Patriotic Party (NPP), National Democratic Congress (NDC), National Peace Council, Coalition of Domestic Election Observers (CODEO). Today (9 December) continued in a similar vein.

Around 10am this morning, EC Chairperson Charlotte Osei explained that results from 210 of 275 constituencies had been collated but did not share the tally of votes thus far. She explained that delays are due to political party agents' refusal to accept collation sheets from the constituencies without first seeing the relevant pink sheets (verififed results from individual polling stations). These 65 include - Upper East Region (2); Volta Region (1); Northern Region (25); Ashanti Region (17); Western Region (16); Brong Ahafo Region (10); Central Region (1); Eastern Region (6). She then called on parties to speak to their agents to speed up the process.

Notwithstanding the EC's silence, at the time of writing several media houses had collated results from more than 200 constituencies:

Multimedia Group-A private media house: From 251 constituencies, Nana Akufo-Addo had 53.64% of votes while President Mahama had...